Population forecast
Population projections provide estimates of the future size, gender and age composition of the population. It is important to stress that population projections are not accurate predictions about the future, but are the result of calculations determined by assumptions about births, deaths and migration. If our assumptions are not met, the actual developments will deviate from the projection.
Our assumption on fertility and mortality are based on experiences from the period 2011 – 2015, while assumptions on migration are based on the latest 10-year period.
Summary table 9.1. Population 2017-2025
|
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
|
Total |
55.750 |
55.647 |
55.556 |
55.454 |
55.351 |
55.245 |
55.133 |
55.033 |
54.909 |
|
Persons born in Greenland |
49.734 |
49.640 |
49.554 |
49.460 |
49.374 |
49.278 |
49.193 |
49.080 |
48.979 |
|
Persons born outside Greenland |
6.016 |
6.007 |
6.002 |
5.994 |
5.977 |
5.967 |
5.940 |
5.953 |
5.930 |
Source: Statistics Greenland, http://bank.stat.gl/BEEPROG
I summary table 9.1 and table 5 results from the projections can be seen. For more details – visit http://bank.stat.gl/BEEPROG . The forecast is calculated on both ‘persons born in Greenland’ and those ‘born outside Greenland’. The two subpopulations evolve in different directions. The persons born in Greenland, are expected to decrease steadily from 49,826 persons in 2016 to 48,979 persons in 2025. The ‘persons born outside Greenland’ are expected to increase from 6,021 persons in 2016 to 5,930 in 2025. The total population will decrease over the next decade